Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs): Difference between revisions
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''' Are there gaps in the data? | ''' Are there gaps in the data? | ||
'''Source''': (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 160) | '''Source''': (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 160) | ||
=== Technique 1: Getting Started Checklist === | === Technique 1: Getting Started Checklist === | ||
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* '''STEP 5''': Who are the primary customers? Are their needs clear? (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 111) | * '''STEP 5''': Who are the primary customers? Are their needs clear? (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 111) | ||
* '''STEP 6''': Are there other stakeholders with differing perspectives? (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 111) | * '''STEP 6''': Are there other stakeholders with differing perspectives? (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 111) | ||
=== Technique 1: Starbursting === | === Technique 1: Starbursting === | ||
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[[File:media/Figure-6.5-Starbursting-Example.png]] (Pherson and Heuer, 2021, p. 167) | [[File:media/Figure-6.5-Starbursting-Example.png]] (Pherson and Heuer, 2021, p. 167) | ||
=== Technique 1: Force Field Analysis === | === Technique 1: Force Field Analysis === | ||
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[[File:media/table-4.2.png]] (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 133) | [[File:media/table-4.2.png]] (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 133) | ||
=== Technique 1: Key Assumptions Check === | === Technique 1: Key Assumptions Check === | ||
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[[File:media/table-6.4.png]] (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 186) | [[File:media/table-6.4.png]] (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 186) | ||
=== Technique 1: Red Hat Analysis and Structured Brainstorming === | === Technique 1: Red Hat Analysis and Structured Brainstorming === | ||
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* '''STEP 2''': Use sticky notes to brainstorm without discussion. Focus on what the adversary would consider when acting. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 323) | * '''STEP 2''': Use sticky notes to brainstorm without discussion. Focus on what the adversary would consider when acting. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 323) | ||
* '''STEP 3''': Group and analyze ideas for common themes. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 323) | * '''STEP 3''': Group and analyze ideas for common themes. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 323) | ||
=== Technique 1: Structured Brainstorming === | === Technique 1: Structured Brainstorming === | ||
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* '''STEP 2''': Post sticky notes on a wall and rearrange them into groups based on similarities. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 251) | * '''STEP 2''': Post sticky notes on a wall and rearrange them into groups based on similarities. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 251) | ||
* '''STEP 3''': Analyze themes and draw conclusions for further investigation. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 251) | * '''STEP 3''': Analyze themes and draw conclusions for further investigation. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 251) | ||
== Technique Level 2 == | == Technique Level 2 == | ||
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[[File:media/table-4.3.png]] | [[File:media/table-4.3.png]] | ||
=== AI Content Detection === | === AI Content Detection === | ||
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* '''Pay attention to details like hands, faces, lighting, textures, and patterns.''' | * '''Pay attention to details like hands, faces, lighting, textures, and patterns.''' | ||
* '''Use tools like [Wasitai Detector](https://wasitai.com) and [Scribbr AI Detector](https://www.scribbr.com/ai-detector/).''' | * '''Use tools like [Wasitai Detector](https://wasitai.com) and [Scribbr AI Detector](https://www.scribbr.com/ai-detector/).''' | ||
=== Technique 2: Decision Matrix === | === Technique 2: Decision Matrix === | ||
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* '''STEP 2''': List criteria and options. Consolidate items to remove overlap. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 454) | * '''STEP 2''': List criteria and options. Consolidate items to remove overlap. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 454) | ||
* '''STEP 3''': Assign weights and score options. Calculate the total score and choose the best option. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 456) | * '''STEP 3''': Assign weights and score options. Calculate the total score and choose the best option. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 456) | ||
=== Technique 2: Devil’s Advocacy === | === Technique 2: Devil’s Advocacy === | ||
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* '''STEP 1''': Start with the project’s goals, assumptions, and gaps. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 187) | * '''STEP 1''': Start with the project’s goals, assumptions, and gaps. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 187) | ||
* '''STEP 2''': Build a logical case against the proposed decision by focusing on potential pitfalls. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 187) | * '''STEP 2''': Build a logical case against the proposed decision by focusing on potential pitfalls. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 187) | ||
=== Technique 2: Mind Maps === | === Technique 2: Mind Maps === | ||
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* '''STEP 2''': Brainstorm possible explanations and group ideas into categories. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 233) | * '''STEP 2''': Brainstorm possible explanations and group ideas into categories. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 233) | ||
* '''STEP 3''': Expand the mind map by drawing connections between ideas. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 234) | * '''STEP 3''': Expand the mind map by drawing connections between ideas. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 234) | ||
=== Technique 2: Morphological Analysis === | === Technique 2: Morphological Analysis === | ||
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* '''STEP 1''': Define the problem’s dimensions (group, activity, method, impact). (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 404) | * '''STEP 1''': Define the problem’s dimensions (group, activity, method, impact). (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 404) | ||
* '''STEP 2''': Combine dimensions to generate alternative scenarios and refine them. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 404) | * '''STEP 2''': Combine dimensions to generate alternative scenarios and refine them. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 404) | ||
=== Technique 2: Multiple Hypothesis Generation—Simple Hypotheses === | === Technique 2: Multiple Hypothesis Generation—Simple Hypotheses === | ||
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* '''STEP 2''': Clarify each hypothesis using Who, What, When, Where, and Why. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 207) | * '''STEP 2''': Clarify each hypothesis using Who, What, When, Where, and Why. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 207) | ||
* '''STEP 3''': Select the most promising hypotheses for further analysis. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 207) | * '''STEP 3''': Select the most promising hypotheses for further analysis. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 207) | ||
=== Technique 2: Pros-Cons-Faults-and-Fixes === | === Technique 2: Pros-Cons-Faults-and-Fixes === | ||
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* '''STEP 2''': List pros and cons, and develop fixes for the cons. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 277) | * '''STEP 2''': List pros and cons, and develop fixes for the cons. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 277) | ||
* '''STEP 3''': Compare the pros and cons, and assess the risk associated with each. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 278) | * '''STEP 3''': Compare the pros and cons, and assess the risk associated with each. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 278) | ||
=== Technique 2: What If? Analysis === | === Technique 2: What If? Analysis === | ||
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* '''STEP 1''': Assume the event has occurred and develop a chain of reasoning for how it happened. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 350) | * '''STEP 1''': Assume the event has occurred and develop a chain of reasoning for how it happened. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 350) | ||
* '''STEP 2''': Rank scenarios based on severity and probability. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 351) | * '''STEP 2''': Rank scenarios based on severity and probability. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 351) | ||
== Technique Level 3 == | == Technique Level 3 == | ||
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[[File:media/Figure%207.6A%20Creating%20an%20ACH%20Matrix.png]] (Pherson and Heuer, 2021, p. 245) | [[File:media/Figure%207.6A%20Creating%20an%20ACH%20Matrix.png]] (Pherson and Heuer, 2021, p. 245) | ||
=== Technique 3: Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats (SWOT) === | === Technique 3: Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats (SWOT) === | ||
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[[File:media/figure-10.4-swot-analysis.png]] (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 188) | [[File:media/figure-10.4-swot-analysis.png]] (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 188) | ||
=== Technique 3: Foresight Quadrant Crunching === | === Technique 3: Foresight Quadrant Crunching === | ||
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[[File:media/table-13.3.png]] (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 354) | [[File:media/table-13.3.png]] (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 354) | ||
=== Technique 3: Indicators === | === Technique 3: Indicators === | ||
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* '''STEP 1''': Brainstorm indicators for each scenario. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 328) | * '''STEP 1''': Brainstorm indicators for each scenario. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 328) | ||
* '''STEP 2''': Refine the indicators, ensuring they are observable, valid, reliable, and stable. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 328) | * '''STEP 2''': Refine the indicators, ensuring they are observable, valid, reliable, and stable. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 328) | ||
== Technique Level 4 == | == Technique Level 4 == | ||