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Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs): Difference between revisions

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* '''STEP 2''': Assess information for consistency with each hypothesis. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 209)
* '''STEP 2''': Assess information for consistency with each hypothesis. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 209)
* '''STEP 3''': Refine hypotheses and conclusions based on inconsistencies. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 210)
* '''STEP 3''': Refine hypotheses and conclusions based on inconsistencies. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 210)
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align: center; width:100%;"
|+ '''Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) Table'''
! rowspan="2" | Evidence/Arguments
! colspan="5" | Hypotheses
|-
! Hypothesis 1
! Hypothesis 2
! Hypothesis 3
! Hypothesis 4
! Hypothesis 5
|-
! Evidence/Argument 1
| {{Yes}} Consistent
| {{No}} Inconsistent
| {{Neutral}} Neutral
| {{Yes}} Consistent
| {{No}} Inconsistent
|-
! Evidence/Argument 2
| {{Neutral}} Neutral
| {{Yes}} Consistent
| {{No}} Inconsistent
| {{No}} Inconsistent
| {{Yes}} Consistent
|-
! Evidence/Argument 3
| {{No}} Inconsistent
| {{Neutral}} Neutral
| {{Yes}} Consistent
| {{Yes}} Consistent
| {{No}} Inconsistent
|-
! Evidence/Argument 4
| {{Yes}} Consistent
| {{Yes}} Consistent
| {{Neutral}} Neutral
| {{No}} Inconsistent
| {{Neutral}} Neutral
|-
! Evidence/Argument 5
| {{No}} Inconsistent
| {{Neutral}} Neutral
| {{Yes}} Consistent
| {{No}} Inconsistent
| {{Yes}} Consistent
|-
! colspan="1" | '''Total Inconsistencies'''
| '''X'''
| '''Y'''
| '''Z'''
| '''A'''
| '''B'''
|-
! colspan="1" | '''Tentative Conclusion'''
| colspan="5" | The hypothesis with the fewest inconsistencies is the most likely.
|}


[[File:media/Figure%207.6A%20Creating%20an%20ACH%20Matrix.png]] (Pherson and Heuer, 2021, p. 245)
[[File:media/Figure%207.6A%20Creating%20an%20ACH%20Matrix.png]] (Pherson and Heuer, 2021, p. 245)
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