Center of Gravity Analysis Guide: Difference between revisions

6. Assess and Prioritize Vulnerabilities: added tables with examples
Tools and Techniques: links and formats
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=== Identify the COG ===
=== Identify the COG ===


Accurately identifying the COG is critical for successful operational planning. This involves a thorough analysis of friendly forces, adversaries, and other relevant actors such as host nations.
Accurately identifying the COG is critical for successful operational planning. This involves thoroughly analyzing friendly forces, adversaries, and other relevant actors such as host nations.


'''Friendly COG''': Assess our foundational strengths across various domains:
==== '''Friendly COG''': ====
'''Diplomatic''': What international alliances and diplomatic relations fortify our position?
Assess our foundational strengths across various domains:
 
* '''Diplomatic''': What international alliances and diplomatic relations fortify our position?
* '''Information''': Which communication and propaganda efforts are most influential?
* '''Information''': Which communication and propaganda efforts are most influential?
* '''Military''': What units, capabilities, or systems are crucial for our success?
* '''Military''': What units, capabilities, or systems are crucial for our success?
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* '''Space''': How do our satellite and space-based operations enhance our strategic goals?
* '''Space''': How do our satellite and space-based operations enhance our strategic goals?


'''Adversary COG''': Pinpoint the adversary’s vital sources of power and potential targets:
==== '''Adversary COG''': ====
'''Diplomatic''': How do their international relationships affect their strategic capabilities?
Pinpoint the adversary’s vital sources of power and potential targets:
 
* '''Diplomatic''': How do their international relationships affect their strategic capabilities?
* '''Information''': What misinformation or psychological operations do they deploy?
* '''Information''': What misinformation or psychological operations do they deploy?
* '''Military''': Which military assets are essential to their operational success?
* '''Military''': Which military assets are essential to their operational success?
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* '''Space''': Do they rely heavily on space-based assets?
* '''Space''': Do they rely heavily on space-based assets?


'''Host Nation COG''': Assess the host nation’s pivotal strengths and vulnerabilities:
==== '''Host Nation COG''': ====
'''Diplomatic''': What is the host nation’s stance, and how does it influence the conflict?
Assess the host nation’s pivotal strengths and vulnerabilities:
 
* '''Diplomatic''': What is the host nation’s stance, and how does it influence the conflict?
* '''Information''': What are their capabilities in managing or disseminating information?
* '''Information''': What are their capabilities in managing or disseminating information?
* '''Military''': What military aspects of the host nation could influence their role in the conflict?
* '''Military''': What military aspects of the host nation could influence their role in the conflict?
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* What can the COG do to achieve its objectives?
* What can the COG do to achieve its objectives?
* How does the COG exert influence or control?
* How does the COG exert influence or control?
* '''Strategic Contribution:'''
'''Strategic Contribution:'''
* How do these capabilities contribute to the actor's overall mission?
* How do these capabilities contribute to the actor's overall mission?
* What would be the impact if these capabilities were degraded or neutralized?
* What would be the impact if these capabilities were degraded or neutralized?
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* '''Project Power''': Ability to deploy forces rapidly across different theaters.
* '''Project Power''': Ability to deploy forces rapidly across different theaters.
* '''Sustain Operations''': Maintain prolonged military campaigns.
* '''Sustain Operations''': Maintain prolonged military campaigns.
* '''Information''':
'''Information''':
* '''Influence Public Perception''': Shape narratives to gain support.
* '''Influence Public Perception''': Shape narratives to gain support.
* '''Collect Intelligence''': Gather actionable information on adversaries.
* '''Collect Intelligence''': Gather actionable information on adversaries.
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* What resources are necessary for the critical capabilities?
* What resources are necessary for the critical capabilities?
* Consider personnel, equipment, logistics, information, and infrastructure.
* Consider personnel, equipment, logistics, information, and infrastructure.
* '''Questions to consider:'''
'''Questions to consider:'''
* What logistical support is required?
* What logistical support is required?
* Are there technological dependencies?
* Are there technological dependencies?
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* Are there resource constraints or dependencies?
* Are there resource constraints or dependencies?
* What are the physical or cyber vulnerabilities?
* What are the physical or cyber vulnerabilities?
* '''Analysis:'''
'''Analysis:'''
* How can these vulnerabilities be exploited?
* How can these vulnerabilities be exploited?
* What would be the effect of exploiting these vulnerabilities on the COG?
* What would be the effect of exploiting these vulnerabilities on the COG?
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== Tools and Techniques ==
== Tools and Techniques ==
'''SWOT Analysis''': Evaluate Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats for each COG.
 
* '''[[Structured Analytic Techniques#Technique 3: Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats (SWOT)|SWOT Analysis]]''': Evaluate Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats for each COG.
 
* '''[[PMESII-PT|PMESII-PT Framework]]''': Analyze the operational environment comprehensively.
* '''[[PMESII-PT|PMESII-PT Framework]]''': Analyze the operational environment comprehensively.
* '''Systems Thinking''': Understand the interdependencies within the operational environment.
* '''Systems Thinking''': Understand the interdependencies within the operational environment.
* '''Red Teaming''': Use adversarial thinking to challenge assumptions and identify vulnerabilities.
* '''[[Structured Analytic Techniques#Technique 1: Red Hat Analysis and Structured Brainstorming|Red Teaming]]''': Use adversarial thinking to challenge assumptions and identify vulnerabilities.


== Best Practices ==
== Best Practices ==
'''Continuous Assessment''': Regularly update COG analysis to reflect changes in the operational environment.
 
* '''Continuous Assessment''': Regularly update COG analysis to reflect changes in the operational environment.
* '''Interdisciplinary Approach''': Incorporate insights from intelligence, logistics, cyber, and other relevant fields.
* '''Interdisciplinary Approach''': Incorporate insights from intelligence, logistics, cyber, and other relevant fields.
* '''Operational Security''': Protect your own COG analysis from adversary intelligence efforts.
* '''Operational Security''': Protect your own COG analysis from adversary intelligence efforts.